N.B. does not take into account possible flooding from the Cottingburn and Church Burn
150m3/s - 225m3/s
(5-25yrs likelihood)
Parts of High Stanners start flooding
occurs at 3mm - 4.5mm/hr continuous rainfall on catchment
225m3/s - 270m3/s
(25-40yrs likelihood)
Mitford Road starts flooding from the road. East Mill starts flooding
occurs at 4.5mm - 5.5mm/hr
270m3/s - 300m3/s
(40-50yrs likelihood)
Mitford Road starts flooding from the river. Oldgate in danger. Newmarket car park starts flooding
occurs at 5.5mm - 6.5mm/hr
300m3/s - 325m3/s
(50-75yrs likelihood)
Walls to north of the river breached. Whole of central Morpeth and Low Stanners start flooding
occurs at 6.5mm - 7mm/hr
325m3/s - 345m3/s
(75-137yrs likelihood)
At 325m3/s it takes about an hour and a half after north wall breached for the Middle Greens defence wall to be breached. It takes about an hour to fill the Greens to a 1m average depth at 345m3/s